One question I cannot find an answer to is… How many people exposed to the virus catch it? I know the Ro rate gets at this, but I am trying to understand. For example, if one sick person coughs on 10 people. And they all get enough virus in them to get sick, how many WILL get sick? I suppose this relates to natural immunity (low as I understand it). I’m wondering what percentage of the Toilet Paper March Sadness Everythings Cancelled Corona 2020 Shirt. The worst-case model from the recent report from Imperial College in London suggests 80% of Americans will be infected. And around 4 million die if you include ventilator shortfalls, etc. That’s based on a few assumptions and worst case if the government and society do nothing.
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The problem with tracking is that we can’t test everyone, because we don’t have enough testing facilities and tests. We have no idea just how wide the spread is. And that’s not even factoring all the Toilet Paper March Sadness Everythings Cancelled Corona 2020 Shirt. That’s just accounting for people with mild symptoms who are (rightly) staying home. So as to not contribute to the panic and shortages and long waits. Like most new diseases, the severity will likely go down as more folks are tested and found to be infected with less extreme cases, the infected rate will go up, and R0 will possibly go up. Or down, I dunno. But this will be after the brunt of the pandemic dies down, at least, which might not be until summer.
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